NEW: Three-row live ticker + live in-game analytics for every CFB game starting Sat Oct 17 → B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta)
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B1G+A · All BIG Analytics

LIVE BIG TEN FOOTBALL ANALYTICS

B1G+A is a projection model built on every Big Ten number there is. It projects games, power ratings, bowl spots and the College Football Playoff from those numbers.

And it's live. B1G+A updates with the latest news, injuries and press conferences, usually within the hour. When news breaks, the CFP projections, bowl projections, win chances and power ratings move with it.

Real example · Oct 12, 2026

When UCLA QB Nico Iamaleava was ruled out for the season on Oct 12, 2026, B1G+A dropped UCLA's rating 3 points (11.5 → 8.5). UCLA's B1G+A playoff chance moved from 33.0% to 27.8% within the hour. Its B1G+A simulated playoff chance is 40.1% (CFP odds built Oct 20, 2026, 4:46 PM CT).

CFP odds last rebuilt Oct 20, 4:46 PM CT.

HOW B1G+A WORKS: 100% TRANSPARENT

B1G+A Model 2.2 · current since Oct 12, 2026 (model first launched Oct 9, 2026)

The big upgrade · live since Week 7 (Sat, Oct 17)

100% live in-game metrics and analysis in the B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta)

Live B1G+A win chance, updated every few seconds, for every FBS game in progress. And B1G+A keeps that play-by-play data. It is B1G+A's own data, and it trains the model from here on, so B1G+A's own share grows every week.

The B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) launches in Week 7. Expect some delays or gaps on busy Saturdays while B1G+A scales up; final numbers are checked after each game.

When B1G+A was born

The B1G+A model launched on Oct 9, 2026 (v1.0), going into Week 6. Its first game projections were posted Oct 10, 2026 for the Week 6 Saturday games. v1.1, which added the B1G+A Power Rating, followed on Oct 10, 2026 at 11:29 PM CT. It is a young model, and B1G+A says so up front.

Data first. Data only.

No opinions, no fan bias, no gut calls. B1G+A is numbers only. It is an evolving model: the B1G+A Power Rating is refit after every game day as new results come in, and every pick is graded in public on the Model Record, hits and misses.

Numbers B1G+A doesn't own (yet)

Right now B1G+A leans on public data it does not own: Outside rating, plus public stats, scores and feeds. Market lines are shown for comparison only. That lasts until B1G+A has collected enough of its own data. B1G+A started building its own dataset in Week 6, after the Friday game (Iowa 41, Washington 24, Fri Oct 9).

Who's B1G+A's dad?

Since you'll all want to know: it doesn't have one. It's not human. (If it did, odds are he'd be in Lincoln wearing red, explaining why this is finally the year.) What it does have is data: B1G+A takes in the numbers and puts out its own results, with no slant, no bias, and no person picking winners.

The promise

Until the data is fully B1G+A's own, B1G+A uses only publicly available, shareable data from other providers, and always credits each one by name, wherever its numbers appear.

Borrowed data vs. B1G+A's own data, by week

The B1G+A rating is a blend. The outside rating's share is 85% through Week 4, then drops 5 points a week: 70% in Week 7, down to a 50% floor from Week 11 on. The rest is the B1G+A Power Rating, built from game results. Live play-by-play collected from Week 7 on feeds B1G+A's own side.

Wk 1–4
Outside rating 85%B1G+A 15%
Wk 5
Outside rating 80%B1G+A 20%
Wk 6
Outside rating 75%B1G+A 25%
Wk 7
Outside rating 70%B1G+A 30%
Wk 8
Outside rating 65%B1G+A 35%
Wk 9
Outside rating 60%B1G+A 40%
Wk 10
Outside rating 55%B1G+A 45%
Wk 11+
Outside rating 50%B1G+A 50%

See full version history →

Model versions / changelog

  • 1.x · launched Oct 9, 2026, in use through Week 6. The launch model, running mostly on public data (1.0 led by outside rating; 1.1 on Oct 10 added the B1G+A Power Rating blend).
  • 2.0 · the Week 7 upgrade. 100% live in-game metrics for every FBS game, plus the start of B1G+A's own data repository (collection began in Week 6, after the Friday game).
  • 2.1 · Oct 12. 2.0 plus the updates since, such as news-driven rating adjustments. Live in-game tracking launches as the B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) in Week 7 (Sat, Oct 17).
  • 2.2 · current. 2.1 plus a three-row live ticker on the homepage and /live: B1G, Top 25 (scrolling the opposite way) and all CFB from the public feeds scoreboard (slower scroll), with the B1G+A win chance and the projected loser's percentage in red.

NEW · LIVE IN-GAME ANALYTICS

live since Week 7 (Oct 17) · Week 8 this week

Every game

WIN CHANCES

Live B1G+A win chance, updated every few seconds, for every FBS game in progress.

Every game

ALL OF CFB

Covers every college football game through the live feeds, focused on the Big Ten. Records kept for every game from Week 7 on.

EVERYTHING B1G+A DOES

tap a category to open it
The B1G+A model 3
Live in-game (all FBS, from Week 7) 3
Scores, teams & rankings 5
Playoff & bowls 2
Picks & proof 5
Money, fun & more 5
2.2 launch

The B1G+A Model · Week 8 projections

THIS WEEK'S B1G+A PICKS

Projected scores from the B1G+A Model, posted before kickoff and graded against the final. Every pick stays on the board, hit or miss. Past weeks, graded →

B1G+A RECORD

green = .500 or better · red = below .500
ALL-TIMEsince 10/10/26 · 14 gradedLATEST WEEKWeek 7 · 7 graded · 0 pending
Straight upprojected winner won8-6.571 4-3.571
Against the spreadB1G+A lean vs. market8-6.571 5-2.714
Over/underB1G+A lean vs. market6-8.429 3-4.429
Avg margin errorprojected vs. actual margin8.1pts8.9pts

Iowa at Washington (Fri., Oct 9, 2026, 8 PM CT) kicked off before B1G+A launched (Oct 10, 2026), so it is not in the pick record.

WEEK 8 PROJECTIONS

Past weeks, graded →
Game (CT)B1G+A projection (win %)outside rating win %
#6 Indiana (6-1) @ Michigan (4-2)
Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM CT · Fox
IU 27-16 (78%)IU 82%
Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineIU -7
O/U 41.5
Rutgers (2-4) @ #24 Northwestern (5-1)
Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM CT · Peacock
NU 38-19 (88%)NU 91%
Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineNU -16.5
O/U 58.5
Oregon (4-2) @ Illinois (3-3)
Sat Oct 24, 2:00 PM CT · BTN
ORE 32-22 (74%)ORE 77%
Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineORE -9.5
O/U 50.5
Michigan St (2-5) @ #9 UCLA (6-0)
Sat Oct 24, 2:30 PM CT · CBS
UCLA 29-18 (76%)UCLA 84%
Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineUCLA -14
O/U 44.5
#15 Iowa (5-1) @ Minnesota (4-2)
Sat Oct 24, 2:30 PM CT · FS1
IOWA 27-17 (74%)IOWA 80%
Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineIOWA -6.5
O/U 40.5
#16 USC (6-1) @ Wisconsin (4-2)
Sat Oct 24, 6:30 PM CT · NBC
USC 26-25 (55%)USC 60%
Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineUSC -3
O/U 49.5

All 6 Week 8 games involving a Big Ten team. B1G+A projection = projected winner and score from the B1G+A Model, with its win chance. outside rating win % is shown for comparison and is not B1G+A. Week 7 and earlier projections, with results →

Week 8 projections built Oct 20, 7:24 PM CT from data as of: ratings Oct 20, 4:44 PM CT · pregame win chances Oct 20, 4:49 PM CT · stats Oct 20, 4:48 PM CT · schedule Oct 20, 4:46 PM CT · lines Oct 20, 7:20 PM CT.

Live win chances, lines & tracker → /live
The B1G+ take: Calibration check: B1G+A picks carried an average pregame outside rating win chance of 67%, so you'd expect about 9.4 of 14 right; it got 8. With 14 games that is far too small a sample to say the model is well calibrated, and B1G+A will keep tracking it in the open.

B1G+A LIVE WIN PROB. · PREGAME

Week 8 · as of Oct 20, 4:49 PM CT

Pregame · B1G+A

IU78%@22%MICH

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM CT · Fox · IU favored

outside rating (comparison), pregame: IU 82%

Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineIU -7
O/U 41.5
RUTG12%@88%NU

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM CT · Peacock · NU favored

outside rating (comparison), pregame: NU 91%

Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineNU -16.5
O/U 58.5
ORE74%@26%ILL

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 24, 2:00 PM CT · BTN · ORE favored

outside rating (comparison), pregame: ORE 77%

Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineORE -9.5
O/U 50.5
MSU24%@76%UCLA

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 24, 2:30 PM CT · CBS · UCLA favored

outside rating (comparison), pregame: UCLA 84%

Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineUCLA -14
O/U 44.5
IOWA74%@26%MINN

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 24, 2:30 PM CT · FS1 · IOWA favored

outside rating (comparison), pregame: IOWA 80%

Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineIOWA -6.5
O/U 40.5
USC55%@45%WIS

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 24, 6:30 PM CT · NBC · USC favored

outside rating (comparison), pregame: USC 60%

Lines as of Tue 7:35 PM CT; openers hidden until verified
Market lineUSC -3
O/U 49.5

Lead number = B1G+A: the B1G+A in-game model once a game kicks off; before kickoff, the B1G+A pregame win chance (B1G+A Model 2.2 projection). outside rating (comparison) is shown smaller underneath and is not B1G+A. This panel is a game-day snapshot, rebuilt about every 30 minutes to 2 hours during B1G games; the live game list and box scores refresh every 15 seconds while games are in progress (game pages load the latest breakdown when opened).

* B1G+A Model 2.2, updated Oct 12, 2026. Model notes · Version history

Live win chances, lines & tracker → /live
The B1G+ take: Calibration check: B1G+A picks carried an average pregame outside rating win chance of 74%, so you'd expect about 5.2 of 7 right; it got 4. With 7 games that is far too small a sample to say the model is well calibrated, and B1G+A will keep tracking it in the open.

THE PROOF

everything else on this site backs up the model

LATEST REPORTS

each card opens its post; find more on each game, team, CFP and Model Record page

LIVE SCORES · B1G

From the public feed's public scoreboard, refreshing every 15 seconds while games are in progress. All FBS and Top 25 →

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